Analysis: U.S. Armed Services Grossly Underestimates Taliban, Al Qaeda Strength Levels Inwards Afghanistan

by Bill Roggio –Long War Journal

Once again, the the States military machine has grossly underestimated the size together with range of the Taliban, despite battling the grouping head-on for the end 17 years. In its latest quarterly report, the States Forces – Transitional Islamic State of Afghanistan (USFOR-A) approximated the Taliban’s strength every bit betwixt 28,000 together with 40,000 fighters.

That bring out should last doubled, at the minimum, because the USFOR-A gauge is wildly unrealistic given the score together with intensity of fighting inward Afghanistan, likewise every bit the bring out of Taliban casualties claimed past times Afghan safety forces.

This latest gauge of the Taliban’s strength was disclosed inward the Department of Defense Inspector General’s quarterly written report on Afghanistan, which covered July through September, 2018. USFOR-A estimated the Taliban to convey 30,000 to 35,000 fighters, together with the “Taliban Haqqani Network” about other 3,000 to 5,000 [see nautical chart above, reproduced from the inspector general’s report].

As FDD’s Long War Journal has noted for to a greater extent than than a decade, the distinction betwixt the Taliban together with the Haqqani Network is ane without difference; Sirajuddin Haqqani, the leader of the Haqqani Network, has been the deputy to Taliban emir Mullah Habiatullah together with military machine commander of the grouping since 2015. The 2 groups stopped denying that they are classify entities inward 2008…

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