Catherine Harris, Russian Federation in addition to Ukraine Research Analyst at ISW
Frederick W. Kagan, Critical Threats Project Director at the American Enterprise Institute
U.S. leaders in addition to their European allies are unprepared for the ways inwards which Russia's President Vladimir Putin is poised to wage country of war inwards Ukraine in addition to the Baltic. The Russian armed forces is good positioned to launch a short-notice conventional country of war inwards Ukraine in addition to a hybrid country of war inwards the Baltic States, the reverse of what Western leaders look to await inwards each theater. NATO leaders increasingly warn of the threat of a conventional invasion of the Baltic States (or fifty-fifty Western Europe). But Russian army are non deployed or organized to initiate a short-notice conventional country of war inwards that region. They have, however, redeployed in addition to reorganized since 2014 inwards a means that would back upwards a rapid mechanized invasion of Ukraine from both due north in addition to east, piece remaining well-prepared to behave a hybrid warfare intervention inwards the Baltics similar to what they did inwards Ukraine later the Maidan Revolution. The States in addition to its partners should re-evaluate the close probable Russian courses of activeness in addition to reconsider the mix of armed forces in addition to non-military tools required to defend NATO allies in addition to Ukraine from potential Russian aggression.
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