by Lyle J. Goldstein
As technology scientific discipline advances relentlessly, the existent prospect of robot wars is patently almost upon us. The 2015 mass Ghost Fleet , written past times Peter Singer together with August Cole, lays out a vision of a futurity state of war betwixt mainland People's Republic of China together with the United States, together with the role of artificial intelligence (AI) inward that hypothetical armed forces conflict is non small. Drones of diverse types non solely send out surveillance inward this novel but too play crucial roles inward communications, logistics, every bit good every bit inward high-intensity combat. In i memorable vignette, 2 American unmanned surface vehicles “following an algorithm developed from query done on the means sand tiger sharks cooperated inward their hunting” successfully prosecute a Chinese nuclear submarine. Strategists familiar alongside the U.S. Navy’s Sea Hunter programme know that this ambition is non specially far-fetched. Yet, what if that mass understates China’s ambitions to apply AI to the futurity battlefield, together with to undersea warfare, inward particular? Such a decision could move plausibly drawn from recent revelations in the South mainland People's Republic of China Morning Post.
There are a few drone incident ” betwixt mainland People's Republic of China together with America has been neglected past times journalists together with strategic researchers alike, alongside a few exceptions. That incident involved a standoff over China’s seizure of an American underwater drone, which was eventually returned. This article examines some Chinese-language renderings of that incident to run across what tin plow over the sack move gleaned close Beijing’s evolving vision of robot state of war nether the Pacific.
One article that appeared inward mainland People's Republic of China National Defense News [中国国防报] presently afterward the incident goes into considerable particular on the workings together with missions of the American glider [波浪滑行者]-type UUV that was seized. It is explained that this glider vehicle is used to get together salinity, temperature together with depth readings, enabling the creation of hydrographic maps [水文地图]. While such vehicles are described every bit “extremely slow,” it is recognized that they possess got for certain operational advantages, such every bit extended attain together with endurance that allows them to “maintain battlefield presence over specially long durations together with therefore render continuous observation [在作战区域保持特久存在并进行特续蓝视].” This analysis warns against minimizing the importance of gathering body of body of water information for armed forces purposes, noting that sonars are seriously impacted past times oceanographic factors, such every bit temperature, salinity together with depth. Indeed, the quest is underlined inward the analysis that for groovy might navies, such information collection is “exceedingly of import [太重要了].” While this article does non address the political aspects of the “drone incident,” it does advise that such operations close to the sovereign waters of a province creates the “risk of detection together with capture.”
Another quite expansive article inward the same paper gave to a greater extent than attending to the political together with strategic aspects of the incident. This article ran nether the headline “The Chinese Side Respectfully together with Moderately Manages the UUV Incident [中方有礼有节管控潜航器事件].” The article notes that Chinese Navy ship 510 (a type 056 low-cal frigate) met the USS Mustin inward the vicinity of the master copy incident—about 50 miles northwest of Subic Bay—to attain the transfer of the UUV dorsum to the U.S. side. With a piddling pride, together with then it seems, it is related that the American glider was returned “completely whole together with undamaged.” The article explains that a Pentagon spokesman had commented that the U.S. Navy had been “legally labor armed forces surveys inward the South mainland People's Republic of China Sea.” It farther notes that the Americans had complained that the UUV had English linguistic communication markings that “clearly identified the vehicle every bit belonging to the US authorities together with should non possess got been taken [明确说明是美国政府财产不得取走].”
This article references a New York Times slice inward suggesting that the American gliders could move useful for tracking the movements of Chinese submarines. The Chinese slice assesses that the U.S. Navy has close 130 of this type of UUV, but notes that it remains unclear how many of these are deployed to the South mainland People's Republic of China Sea. The tardily Sen. John McCain is cited inward the Chinese slice every bit opining that “China is destroying regional stability [中国破坏地区稳定].” The National Interest [国家利益] is too mentioned past times the Chinese armed forces analysis together with recommends that Washington “systematically disclose its capabilities [有序地展示力量].” At the same time, this analysis too quotes a Chinese official spokesperson remonstrating against U.S. ships together with aircraft that possess got for a long fourth dimension conducted intelligence together with other armed forces operations inward “China’s proximate sea areas [中国当面海域].” This tilt said mainland People's Republic of China volition resolutely oppose these activities, need that the U.S.A. of America cease such operations, together with volition possess got appropriate countermeasures.
While taking banking concern annotation of an article from the Japanese press claiming that an “armed clash betwixt the US together with mainland People's Republic of China is inevitable,” this Chinese analysis observes that other experts assess overall that, “the US side had a wish to throttle conduct chances [美方管控风险的愿望]” inward this situation. At the same time, it is noted that some Americans could move reluctant to exactly “let it go,” because “the US has lost pregnant human face upward earlier its allies [美国在亚太盟友面前大大丢脸].” In the in conclusion line of piece of occupation of the piece, the writer warns that the Trump direction volition undoubtedly educate some novel policies for the South mainland People's Republic of China Sea, together with mainland People's Republic of China should brand “sufficient . . . grooming [足够 . . . 准备].”
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