Washington, D.C., March 29, 2018 – Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 novel study from the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) examines how the spread of advanced technologies as well as operational concepts has enabled soil competitors to competition US military machine primacy. It closes amongst recommendations for assuring an American military machine payoff to the twelvemonth 2025 as well as beyond. In “Building the Future Force: Guaranteeing American Leadership inwards a Contested Environment ,” Shawn Brimley, Jerry Hendrix, Lauren Fish, Adam Routh, as well as Alexander Velez-Green assess competitors’ pursuit of information dominance; integrated naval, air, as well as missile defenses; as well as long-range strike capabilities. The authors evaluate side yesteryear side how these developments, both independently as well as inwards conjunction amongst ane another, may complicate US efforts to find, fix, as well as complete enemy targets inwards a futurity war. The study closes amongst recommendations for overcoming or sidestepping these complications.
The report’s authors are the belatedly Shawn Brimley, quondam Executive Vice President as well as Director of Studies at CNAS; Jerry Hendrix, Senior Fellow as well as Director of CNAS’ Defense Strategies as well as Assessments Program; as well as Lauren Fish, Adam Routh, as well as Alexander Velez-Green, Research Associates inwards the Defense Strategies as well as Assessments Program.
The report’s substitution takeaways include:
The rates of technological advancement as well as proliferation are hastening. To empathize what this agency for the futurity requires long-term inherently hard task. Admiral Arleigh Burke’s Task Force lxx effort, Andrew W. Marshall’s locomote inside the Office of Net Assessment, Michael Vickers’ 1993 locomote for the Office of Net Assessment, as well as Robert O. Work’s 2014 Center for a New American Security plough over robotic warfare all stand upward for accurate predictions of the futurity threat environment. Successful forecasting does non ever make the necessary policy changes, however. The challenge is so less ane of recognition than of translating this recognition into an appropriately designed defense forcefulness program.
The militarization of interstate politics should hold out expected to persist for the foreseeable future. This tendency volition hold out paralleled yesteryear the diffusion of advanced military machine technologies as well as novel ideas for how to exercise them. The success of the futurity forcefulness volition depend on its mightiness to find, fix, as well as complete targets to a greater extent than rapidly than its adversaries. Equally, the futurity forcefulness should facial expression adversaries that try to comport warfare at a stair unmatched yesteryear the the States or its allies.
The hit as well as lethality of modern weaponry hateful that whichever state’s forces are consistently able to remain hidden long plenty to honor as well as strike enemy targets start volition lead keep a meaning military-strategic advantage. The challenge for the US Department of Defense, then, is to procure a resilient intelligence, surveillance, as well as reconnaissance (ISR) architecture, enabled yesteryear artificial tidings (AI) as well as advanced computing, that allows for the collection, analysis, as well as dissemination of actionable information inwards real-time. This volition require greater investment inwards space-based, hypersonic, as well as stealth ISR assets inwards add-on to AI-enabled analysis capabilities.
Adversary access to a various array of defensive countermeasures agency that sustained target acquisition cannot hold out assured. To ensure a kill, futurity forces volition demand to deliver ane or to a greater extent than munitions on-target quickly, earlier an adversary is able to escape tracking. This is possible yesteryear either moving shooters equally simply about the target expanse equally possible or yesteryear acquiring a suite of prompt strike weapons that tin hold out fired from exterior – or within, if viable – an enemy’s A2/AD bubble. If the futurity forcefulness wishes to ensure a kill, smart small-diameter bombs, robotic swarms, hypersonics, as well as directed-energy weapons should hold out a critical procurement focus for the Department of Defense.
The stair of technological improvement, coupled amongst intensifying challenges to US national safety interests worldwide, demands that the the States dare to imagine ways of fighting that may defy conventional wisdom but that harness America’s unique advantages. American strategists must too position the doctrinal innovations that volition brand best exercise of novel technologies, or best mitigate the vulnerabilities of older systems, inasmuch equally it is non the applied scientific discipline that wins a war, but how that applied scientific discipline is employed.
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