COL. VINAYAK BHAT (RETD)
Islamic Republic of Pakistan has decided to deploy its tactical nuclear weapons inwards peculiarly prepared garrisons just well-nigh 60-80 km from the international boundary.
New Delhi: Islamic Republic of Pakistan thinks it has compelled Republic of Republic of India to abandon the ‘Cold Start’ doctrine, i.e. the abrupt too swift launch of large scale armed services action, too has foreclosed all options for a conventional state of war past times operationalising tactical nuclear weapons – nuclear bombs amongst express yield that may live used against advancing Indian armed services columns.
But its calculations may just live flawed.
Republic of Republic of India has a really clearly drawn out nuclear policy of “No First Use” or NFU. However, details of that policy convey been left ambiguous — such equally what would live construed equally commencement use. This could live something similar Pakistani grooming to launch nuclear weapons, an actual launch of nuclear weapons, or fifty-fifty a crossing over into Indian air space.
Pakistan’s TNW garrisons
Islamic Republic of Pakistan has thence decided to deploy its TNWs or tactical nuclear weapons inwards peculiarly prepared garrisons just well-nigh 60-80 km from the international boundary. The introduce attain of Pakistan’s mobile TNW inventory – the Nasr missile – is threescore km. It is designed to live fired from the garrison itself inside the shortest possible grooming time.
Pakistan’s 2 TNW garrisons are located inwards Gujranwala too Pano Aqil.
Gujranwala
The Gujranwala TNW garrison was constructed betwixt 2011 too 2014. It has 2 hardened highbay garages (100 1000 x twenty m) amongst automated blast doors on the eastern side too a 5 1000 broad entrance on the west. Both highbay garages are connected amongst a covered pathway to defence forcefulness electronics systems storage igloos (15 1000 x xvi m).
There are 8 garages (32 1000 x 17 m) amongst v parks each. Six of these garages are connected amongst air conditioning plants inwards the rear, suggesting a storage infinite for 24 tractor erector launchers or TELs amongst back upwards vehicles.
Five novel blast-proof ammunition bunkers (25 1000 x xviii m) convey been constructed amongst revetments inwards betwixt during the same period, suggesting a back upwards component subdivision for the facility. There are 2 large back upwards areas amongst highbay garages for possible repair too maintenance of the weapons, TELs too back upwards vehicles.
There are command too control, administrative too other back upwards buildings observed at this facility.
H5N1 four-layered safety has been provided, amongst the innermost beingness a venture fighting amongst raised lookout adult man towers.
Pano Aqil
The Pano Aqil TNW garrison was constructed at a really irksome footstep betwixt 2010-2015. This garrison has a unmarried hardened highbay garage amongst just similar size shape too make. It has similar automated blast doors on 1 side too a 5 1000 broad entrance on the other. It is connected amongst a pathway to the DES igloo.
There are nine garages at this facility, slightly larger (40 1000 x xviii m) than Gujranwala. It likewise has a back upwards expanse amongst a highbay garage, command too control, too other administrative buildings. It likewise has v additional ammunition bunkers amongst just the same configuration.
The facility has a large opened upwards area, suggesting that closed to expansion has been planned for this facility inwards the future. The size of the garages betoken the possible expansion volition live larger TELs, perhaps that of Abdali or Ghaznavi.
H5N1 similar four-layered safety has been provided, amongst the innermost beingness a venture fighting amongst raised lookout adult man towers inside visual contact of each other.
‘Cold Start’ is silent tenable
Islamic Republic of Pakistan believes that since the gap at the tactical marker has been plugged past times the Nasr missile systems, all avenues of conventional state of war are blocked past times denying operational space. Thus, India’s ‘Cold Start’ doctrine becomes untenable.
Islamic Republic of Pakistan perceives that ‘Cold Start’ volition entail 8-9 IABGs capturing either large territory, something that would cross Pakistan’s nuclear threshold too invite “one odd” tactical nuclear weapon use. And, that Republic of Republic of India volition non live able to role “massive retaliation” to counter 1 such smasher due to international pressure.
Islamic Republic of Pakistan seems to convey deployed at to the lowest degree 24-36 launchers amongst Nasr missiles. Although Nasr missiles are dual use, at that topographic point is a ask to count 36×4 warheads (each launcher amongst 4 missiles), instead of simply 36 warheads. This deployment indicates Pakistan’s perception of ‘Indian Cold Start’ targets priority equally Shakargarh Bulge too Thar Desert.
This concept for stategic deterrence is, however, flawed. Indian formations tin privy easily achieve the smasher distance of fourscore km that includes Nasr garrisons. Islamic Republic of Pakistan could live underestimating the resilience of the Indian leadership.
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